| The relationships between permanent and transitory movements in US output and the unemployment rate TM Sinclair Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 41 (2‐3), 529-542, 2009 | 135 | 2009 |
| Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions TM Sinclair, HO Stekler, L Kitzinger Applied Economics 42 (18), 2289-2297, 2010 | 110 | 2010 |
| A state-level analysis of Okun's law AY Guisinger, R Hernandez-Murillo, MT Owyang, TM Sinclair Regional Science and Urban Economics 68, 239-248, 2018 | 95 | 2018 |
| Asymmetry in the business cycle: Friedman's plucking model with correlated innovations TM Sinclair Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 14 (1), 2009 | 79 | 2009 |
| Can the Fed predict the state of the economy? TM Sinclair, F Joutz, HO Stekler Economics Letters 108 (1), 28-32, 2010 | 76 | 2010 |
| Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19 WD Larson, TM Sinclair International Journal of Forecasting 38 (2), 635-647, 2022 | 49 | 2022 |
| Will it stay or will it go? Analysing developments in telework during COVID-19 using online job postings data P Adrjan, G Ciminelli, A Judes, M Koelle, C Schwellnus, T Sinclair OECD, 2021 | 40 | 2021 |
| Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates TM Sinclair, HO Stekler International Journal of Forecasting 29 (4), 736-750, 2013 | 36 | 2013 |
| Output fluctuations in the G-7: An unobserved components approach S Mitra, TM Sinclair Macroeconomic dynamics 16 (3), 396-422, 2012 | 36 | 2012 |
| Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts TM Sinclair, HO Stekler, W Carnow International Journal of Forecasting 31 (1), 157-164, 2015 | 35 | 2015 |
| A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts TM Sinclair, HO Stekler, W Carnow, M Hall Economics Bulletin 32 (3), 2332-2342, 2012 | 31 | 2012 |
| Permanent and transitory movements in output and unemployment: Okun’s law persists T Sinclair George Washington University, manuscript, 2005 | 30 | 2005 |
| What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts? JD Messina, TM Sinclair, H Stekler Journal of Macroeconomics 45, 54-62, 2015 | 29 | 2015 |
| How well does “core” inflation capture permanent price changes? MD Bradley, DW Jansen, TM Sinclair Macroeconomic Dynamics 19 (4), 791-815, 2015 | 21 | 2015 |
| A nonparametric approach to identifying a subset of forecasters that outperforms the simple average C Bürgi, TM Sinclair Empirical Economics 53, 101-115, 2017 | 19 | 2017 |
| Evaluating forecasts of a vector of variables: a German forecasting competition T Sinclair, HO Stekler, HC Muller‐Droge Journal of Forecasting 35 (6), 493-503, 2016 | 19 | 2016 |
| Okun’s Law in real time AY Guisinger, TM Sinclair International Journal of Forecasting 31 (1), 185-187, 2015 | 19 | 2015 |
| Mongolia: Measuring the output gap J Bersch, TM Sinclair International Monetary Fund, 2011 | 19 | 2011 |
| Migration and online job search: A gravity model approach M Mamertino, TM Sinclair Economics Letters 181, 51-53, 2019 | 18 | 2019 |
| Testing stationarity with unobserved-components models J Morley, IB Panovska, TM Sinclair Macroeconomic Dynamics 21 (1), 160-182, 2017 | 18 | 2017 |
Pawel AdrjanHead of EMEA Research, Indeed & Research Fellow in Economics, Regent's Park College, University ofVerified email at regents.ox.ac.uk
